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jueves, 24 de julio de 2008

¿Bendita crisis?

Hace unos meses publiqué una entrada que trataba sobre la posibilidad de que una crisis económica como la que nos están vendiendo sea una buena oportunidad de cambio. Quiero incidir sobre ello ahora que he leido otros escritos por ahí que ahondan en esa línea.

John ha enviado una interesante reflexión de un experimentado investigador científico sobre la crisis energética, que es por tanto también una crisis del modelo de sociedad basado en el abuso de los combustibles fóisiles, modelo hoy sostenido por el petroleo.

En resumen, este investigador nos cuenta que ese modelo ha sido injustamente barato durante el último siglo, y lo ha sido porque unas cuantas multinacionales apoyadas por los Gobiernos de sus países han conseguido mantener precios de risa para un recurso tan escaso y tan efectivo. En cuanto unos cuantos países productores han conseguido romper (primero en la crisis de 1973 y ahora en esta) la voluntad de las "siete hermanas" (siete multinacionales que lograron mantener el precio del barril a 2 dólares durante casi un siglo entero), ha salido a flote la verdad: estábamos derrochando un recurso del que ya hemos consumido la mitad del existente en el planeta. En resumen: el modelo de sociedad capitalista actual se acaba, pero se acaba ya, no dentro de tres siglos.

Pero esto no es malo, porque el sistema, tal y como estaba concebido, está a punto de acabar con el planeta. Hemos apostado por un modelo de crecimiento económico sin medida, de tirar hacia adelante sin mirar cómo lo arrasamos todo.

La anterior crisis energética, la de 1973, se medio solucionó, dice este señor, porque las petroleras se pusieron como locas a invertir en tecnología para extrarer petróleo de los sitios a los que antes no se llegaba. Lograron poner un poco más de petroleo en el mercado, pan para hoy, hambre para mañana. Comenzó una carrera agónica en la que vivimos hoy y que se saldará en los próximos meses o años con explotación hasta la muerte del polo norte,añado yo.

Lo que dice este hombre y decimos otros muchos es que ha llegado el momento de cambiar de sistema, buscar otras fuentes de energía que serán menos potentes y eficaces si las analizamos desde el punto de vista del consumo inmediato, pero el truco está en no necesitar tanto, y no necesitaremos tanto si nuestra forma de vida, el sistema etc... es diferente, menos dependiente del derroche energético. Más de carril bici, vamos. Ya no se trata de que la gente se conciencie, los gobiernos tienen que decirle ya a la gente que no podemos seguir este modelo, que realmente se ha acabado. El problema es que no lo quieren decir claro.

El petroleo es un lujo,porque su coste es incalculable:¿cuánto vale degradar irremediablemente nuestro planeta? Esto se ha acabado, pero nos estamos enterando de una forma cobarde: nadie nos lo va a decir directamente a la cara: simplemente viene una crisis "tremenda". El que sea incapaz de vivir sin tener un supertelevisor, sin un coche fantástico etc... sufrirá graves problemas de adaptación. Los demás, si no hay cruentas guerras de por medio, lo pasaremos mucho mejor.

Desgraciadamente el especulador seguirá existiendo, porque se nutre de la necesidad de mucha gente. Como muchos querrán seguir tenendo un coche bueno, los especuladores se lo venderán junto con el tanque de gasolina al precio de una hipoteca gigantesca. Pero el aire estará más limpio, que es lo que a mí me importa. Bueno, hasta aquí el sueño. ¿Quién se abona?

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